Weekly Market Activity Report
The Twin Cities housing market continues to post strong pending sales figures as fall progresses. For the week ending October 31, there were 826 pending sales. That's down from the week before but 42.9 percent greater than the same week last year.
The extension and expansion of the tax credit means that first-time home buyer activity will remain strong, but don't bank on the same blockbuster numbers we have seen this year. If you were a potential first-time buyer who was qualified to purchase in 2009, odds are good that you already bought. The fact that the income limits have been raised for eligibility does help since it widens the credit's availability.
The $6,500 credit for second-time buyers will spur some sellers to put their homes on the market who had previously been on the fence. New listings will likely strengthen this winter and into early 2010 as a result.
Some updated numbers for this month:
• Days on Market is still shrinking, down to 128. That's 9.4 percent below last October.
• The Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale bumped up to 94.6.
• The Housing Affordability Index increased to 202, up 25.5 percent over 2008.
Monday, November 9, 2009
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
WOW!!! This market is HOT.
Weekly Market Activity Report
Did you get all your screams out over the Halloween weekend? Well here’s a scary thought to keep you in the Halloween spirit: we’re running out of homes to sell in the lower price ranges.
For the week ending October 24 there were 926 signed purchase agreements, up a monstrous (get it?) 53.8 percent from a year ago. Over the last three months, sales of homes under $250,000 are up 40.0 percent from the same period during 2008, while sales above that watermark have dipped by 0.3 percent. As a result, compared to a year ago the inventory of available homes below $250,000 has dropped by over 5,300 units.
With the possibility of the federal tax credit for first-time buyers being extended and expanded, there may be significant shortages of inventory for buyers looking in those price ranges as 2010 begins.
For November, the overall Supply-Demand Ratio is a paltry 7.69 per buyer, down 29.3 percent from the year prior.
Did you get all your screams out over the Halloween weekend? Well here’s a scary thought to keep you in the Halloween spirit: we’re running out of homes to sell in the lower price ranges.
For the week ending October 24 there were 926 signed purchase agreements, up a monstrous (get it?) 53.8 percent from a year ago. Over the last three months, sales of homes under $250,000 are up 40.0 percent from the same period during 2008, while sales above that watermark have dipped by 0.3 percent. As a result, compared to a year ago the inventory of available homes below $250,000 has dropped by over 5,300 units.
With the possibility of the federal tax credit for first-time buyers being extended and expanded, there may be significant shortages of inventory for buyers looking in those price ranges as 2010 begins.
For November, the overall Supply-Demand Ratio is a paltry 7.69 per buyer, down 29.3 percent from the year prior.
Monday, October 26, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
Weekly Market Activity Report
The end of the first-time home buyers tax credit looms just 30 days beyond a Halloween horizon, and home sales remain strong in the lead-up to tricks and treats and the impending tax credit DEADline. For the week ending October 17, there were 954 signed purchase agreements, howling up 54.4 percent from a year ago. Almost two-thirds of these pending sales were priced below $190,000—evidence that first-time buyers are carrying a heavy share of the activity.
The strong sales we've seen over the last 15 months mean that our inventory of available homes has shrunk like the heads in a witches' brew. The 23,896 homes on the market right now represents a 21.2 percent decrease from the decidedly more scary market of 2008, and it is the lowest mark at this point in the year since 2004.
Expect home sales to begin dropping as tax credit qualifiers finish their mad rush to the closing table, but unlike those camp counselors at Crystal Lake, we'll all make it out of this market alive.
The end of the first-time home buyers tax credit looms just 30 days beyond a Halloween horizon, and home sales remain strong in the lead-up to tricks and treats and the impending tax credit DEADline. For the week ending October 17, there were 954 signed purchase agreements, howling up 54.4 percent from a year ago. Almost two-thirds of these pending sales were priced below $190,000—evidence that first-time buyers are carrying a heavy share of the activity.
The strong sales we've seen over the last 15 months mean that our inventory of available homes has shrunk like the heads in a witches' brew. The 23,896 homes on the market right now represents a 21.2 percent decrease from the decidedly more scary market of 2008, and it is the lowest mark at this point in the year since 2004.
Expect home sales to begin dropping as tax credit qualifiers finish their mad rush to the closing table, but unlike those camp counselors at Crystal Lake, we'll all make it out of this market alive.
Tuesday, October 6, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
Weekly Market Activity Report
Fall is officially on in the Twin Cities, but it hasn't slowed the housing market as much as usual. After the school year begins, we typically see a drop in buyer activity, but the 2009 fall market is remaining robust due in large part to the final weeks of the tax credit for first-time home buyers. There were 1,056 pending sales for the week ending September 26, up 41 percent from the same week last year.
As a direct result, inventory is dropping like a stone. There are approximately 24,500 homes for sale in the 13-county metro area, down more than 20 percent from a year ago.
The October 2009 Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) comes in at 6.88 houses per buyer, down 22.5 percent from last year. The SDR has shown year-over-year drops of 30 percent or more for the past few months, but we're projecting that the year-over-year decline for October will be smaller because pending sales are likely to be significantly lower if the federal tax credit for first-time buyers is not extended. If the credit goes *poof*, it will remove buyers from the market.
Fall is officially on in the Twin Cities, but it hasn't slowed the housing market as much as usual. After the school year begins, we typically see a drop in buyer activity, but the 2009 fall market is remaining robust due in large part to the final weeks of the tax credit for first-time home buyers. There were 1,056 pending sales for the week ending September 26, up 41 percent from the same week last year.
As a direct result, inventory is dropping like a stone. There are approximately 24,500 homes for sale in the 13-county metro area, down more than 20 percent from a year ago.
The October 2009 Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) comes in at 6.88 houses per buyer, down 22.5 percent from last year. The SDR has shown year-over-year drops of 30 percent or more for the past few months, but we're projecting that the year-over-year decline for October will be smaller because pending sales are likely to be significantly lower if the federal tax credit for first-time buyers is not extended. If the credit goes *poof*, it will remove buyers from the market.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
Weekly Market Activity Report
The Labor Day fluctuations came and went, and the Twin Cities housing market is better for it. Pending sales for the week ending September 13 rose dramatically to 1,043, which is 33.5 percent above last year's total for the same week. We must assume that a healthy chunk of this buyer activity can be attributed to first-time home buyers taking advantage of the tax credit before it expires on November 30.
New listings came in at 1,846, up 3.2 percent in a year-over-year comparison. Home sellers have recognized a window of opportunity in recent months and are listing with a little more frequency, but the overall inventory of houses for sale is still below that of the last three years and our Supply-Demand Ratio (which measures the number of houses available per buyer) remains 30.3 percent better than where we were a year ago.
The Labor Day fluctuations came and went, and the Twin Cities housing market is better for it. Pending sales for the week ending September 13 rose dramatically to 1,043, which is 33.5 percent above last year's total for the same week. We must assume that a healthy chunk of this buyer activity can be attributed to first-time home buyers taking advantage of the tax credit before it expires on November 30.
New listings came in at 1,846, up 3.2 percent in a year-over-year comparison. Home sellers have recognized a window of opportunity in recent months and are listing with a little more frequency, but the overall inventory of houses for sale is still below that of the last three years and our Supply-Demand Ratio (which measures the number of houses available per buyer) remains 30.3 percent better than where we were a year ago.
Monday, September 14, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
In 2008, Labor Day fell on September 1; this year, it fell on September 7. That six-day gap is enough to make our year-over-year comparisons of weekly market activity look a little goofy this week. For instance, for the week ending September 5, there were a whopping 42.9 percent more pending sales than there were a year ago, but this is only because Labor Day—a holiday that notoriously silences the local real estate market for several days—fell during that week last year and didn't this year. Expect similar confusion next week.
Independent of these numerical oddities, sales are still extremely robust as the days remaining on the first-time buyer tax credit continues to tick down. 78...77...76...
New metrics updated this week:
• Housing Affordability Index: At 195, it towers over last year's affordability by 29.1 percent. Falling prices continue to do their job, at least for buyers.
• Months Supply of Inventory: The 6.9 months of inventory available is 30.3 percent below this time last year.
Independent of these numerical oddities, sales are still extremely robust as the days remaining on the first-time buyer tax credit continues to tick down. 78...77...76...
New metrics updated this week:
• Housing Affordability Index: At 195, it towers over last year's affordability by 29.1 percent. Falling prices continue to do their job, at least for buyers.
• Months Supply of Inventory: The 6.9 months of inventory available is 30.3 percent below this time last year.
Tuesday, September 8, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
Weekly Market Activity Report
For the first time in 9 months, the number of weekly new listings coming on the market was actually higher than it was a year ago. The 1,641 new homes on the market during the week ending August 29 represent a 3.3 percent increase from a year ago. The slight year-over-year uptick is due in part to growth in the number of new, traditional, non-lender-mediated listings.
For the most recent reporting week, the number of brand new traditional listings (excluding re-lists that have already been on the market sometime in the last 12 months) has grown 20.3 percent compared to a year ago. Home sellers are becoming more active, likely in response to the increase in home sales seen throughout the year.
And if you look at three of our newly updated metrics, it becomes obvious why more sellers are jumping in:
• Days on Market Until Sale – 133 days, a drop of 7.1 percent from a year ago.
• Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale – 94.1, up 1.5 percent from a year ago.
• Supply-Demand Ratio – 5.46 homes per buyer in September, down 30.3 percent from a year ago.
For the first time in 9 months, the number of weekly new listings coming on the market was actually higher than it was a year ago. The 1,641 new homes on the market during the week ending August 29 represent a 3.3 percent increase from a year ago. The slight year-over-year uptick is due in part to growth in the number of new, traditional, non-lender-mediated listings.
For the most recent reporting week, the number of brand new traditional listings (excluding re-lists that have already been on the market sometime in the last 12 months) has grown 20.3 percent compared to a year ago. Home sellers are becoming more active, likely in response to the increase in home sales seen throughout the year.
And if you look at three of our newly updated metrics, it becomes obvious why more sellers are jumping in:
• Days on Market Until Sale – 133 days, a drop of 7.1 percent from a year ago.
• Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale – 94.1, up 1.5 percent from a year ago.
• Supply-Demand Ratio – 5.46 homes per buyer in September, down 30.3 percent from a year ago.
Tuesday, September 1, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
In 2006, the inventory of homes for sale was plentiful and buyers were in short supply. Regular followers of our weekly report will have noticed that a shift has been in the works for several months. The week-to-week patterns of pending sales and inventory resemble market patterns from last year, but pending sales have consistently outperformed last year's numbers. In fact, the most recent week's 1,012 signed purchase agreements represents a 23.7 percent increase over last year and is the 59th week of the last 60 with a year-over-year increase.
Active listings are dwindling, down 21.2 percent from last year. Inventory supply has dropped from 10.5 months to 7.2 months in the last year, and it has dropped quickly in the lower price ranges where sales activity is the strongest. Shift, change, adjust, correct, stabilize—take your pick of these words when describing today's housing market, and you'll be right.
Active listings are dwindling, down 21.2 percent from last year. Inventory supply has dropped from 10.5 months to 7.2 months in the last year, and it has dropped quickly in the lower price ranges where sales activity is the strongest. Shift, change, adjust, correct, stabilize—take your pick of these words when describing today's housing market, and you'll be right.
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Weekly Market Report for August 18th.
Weekly Market Activity Report
The Twin Cities housing market continues to regain a semblance of balance in supply and demand. For the week ending August 8, there were 1,802 new listings, down 9.5 percent from last year. There were also 1,037 purchase agreements signed (pending sales), up 15.2 percent above last year. The total inventory of homes available for sale is down 21.5 percent from a year ago.
The Housing Affordability Index (HAI) of 195 has begun to taper off from its high of 219 earlier this year, yet the current HAI still represents an increase of more than 30 percent from the boom years earlier this decade. Months Supply of Inventory currently sits at 7.2—down 31.4 percent from last year's mark of 10.5.
All in all, the see-saw is moving back towards equilibrium. This doesn't mean that everything is hunky-dory; sellers still face a challenging market, especially in the higher price ranges. But the overall shift is welcome news.
The Twin Cities housing market continues to regain a semblance of balance in supply and demand. For the week ending August 8, there were 1,802 new listings, down 9.5 percent from last year. There were also 1,037 purchase agreements signed (pending sales), up 15.2 percent above last year. The total inventory of homes available for sale is down 21.5 percent from a year ago.
The Housing Affordability Index (HAI) of 195 has begun to taper off from its high of 219 earlier this year, yet the current HAI still represents an increase of more than 30 percent from the boom years earlier this decade. Months Supply of Inventory currently sits at 7.2—down 31.4 percent from last year's mark of 10.5.
All in all, the see-saw is moving back towards equilibrium. This doesn't mean that everything is hunky-dory; sellers still face a challenging market, especially in the higher price ranges. But the overall shift is welcome news.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Less foreclosures mean more tradtional home sales.
The number of traditional home sales is growing. Only 43.0 percent of the pending sales in May were lender-mediated, compared to 59.4 percent in January. This decrease in lender-mediated market share brought the overall median price up $12,000 from last month to $165,000 in May. Despite the month-over-month increase, that's still a 19.5 percent drop from May 2008. The median May sales price of traditional homes was $214,000, down 4.3 percent from a year ago. Lender-mediated homes posted a May figure of $122,000, down 20.8 percent from a year ago.
Monday, May 4, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
Weekly Market Activity Report
We trust that you had a good May Day, International Worker's Day or early Cinco de Mayo celebration. Whatever your cause for celebration, the Twin Cities housing market did not take a holiday. During the week ending April 25, pending sales posted their fourth consecutive week of more than 1,000 sales, a feat not accomplished since 2006. The 1,078 sales represent a 34.1 percent increase over the same week last year.
Supply remains a different story. New listings were hitting the market at a robust pace last spring, but activity has been comparatively tepid this year. New listings are 16.4 percent behind one year ago and the overall supply of homes for sale trails last year by 19.0 percent. We have remained near 26,000 homes for sale for most of this year, betraying the healthy seasonal growth we typically see this time of year.
Yes, supply is down, but there's still plenty of inventory out there. April's showers are behind us, the Housing Affordability Index is stratospherically healthy, low mortgage rates persist, and a first-time buyer tax credit remains in effect. At this clip, your buyers could certainly find May flowers blooming in front of their newly purchased homes.
We trust that you had a good May Day, International Worker's Day or early Cinco de Mayo celebration. Whatever your cause for celebration, the Twin Cities housing market did not take a holiday. During the week ending April 25, pending sales posted their fourth consecutive week of more than 1,000 sales, a feat not accomplished since 2006. The 1,078 sales represent a 34.1 percent increase over the same week last year.
Supply remains a different story. New listings were hitting the market at a robust pace last spring, but activity has been comparatively tepid this year. New listings are 16.4 percent behind one year ago and the overall supply of homes for sale trails last year by 19.0 percent. We have remained near 26,000 homes for sale for most of this year, betraying the healthy seasonal growth we typically see this time of year.
Yes, supply is down, but there's still plenty of inventory out there. April's showers are behind us, the Housing Affordability Index is stratospherically healthy, low mortgage rates persist, and a first-time buyer tax credit remains in effect. At this clip, your buyers could certainly find May flowers blooming in front of their newly purchased homes.
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
Weekly Market Update. Its looking GOOD!!!
Weekly Market Activity Report
There's no April Foolin' this time of year regarding the Twin Cities housing market. We're able to report several encouraging signs this week as the market seems to be "Def" to any signs of slowdown.
For the week ending March 28, pending sales continue to reflect strong growth, increasing 28.2 percent over last year. Our oversupply continues to draw down, with new listings declining by 12.2 percent for the same time period comparison. The total number of houses for sale is 26,131, a decline of 16.2 percent from this time in 2008.
Days on Market Until Sale continues its downward trend, dropping 9 percent over last year to 150 days. Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale is definitely not Bringin' on the Heartbreak as we're showing our first upward year-over-year move in (a rock of) ages, increasing by 0.6 percent this month. Our Supply-Demand Ratio fell to 5.57, which means there are 5.57 houses for sale for each buyer in April, down 23.5 percent from last year.
With mortgage rates at historic lows and the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time home buyers, it's not surprising to see some arena rock level of hysteria in our local marketplace. We're certainly excited; thus the untucking of our dress shirt this week.
There's no April Foolin' this time of year regarding the Twin Cities housing market. We're able to report several encouraging signs this week as the market seems to be "Def" to any signs of slowdown.
For the week ending March 28, pending sales continue to reflect strong growth, increasing 28.2 percent over last year. Our oversupply continues to draw down, with new listings declining by 12.2 percent for the same time period comparison. The total number of houses for sale is 26,131, a decline of 16.2 percent from this time in 2008.
Days on Market Until Sale continues its downward trend, dropping 9 percent over last year to 150 days. Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale is definitely not Bringin' on the Heartbreak as we're showing our first upward year-over-year move in (a rock of) ages, increasing by 0.6 percent this month. Our Supply-Demand Ratio fell to 5.57, which means there are 5.57 houses for sale for each buyer in April, down 23.5 percent from last year.
With mortgage rates at historic lows and the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time home buyers, it's not surprising to see some arena rock level of hysteria in our local marketplace. We're certainly excited; thus the untucking of our dress shirt this week.
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
The housing market is looking better every week.
Weekly Market Activity Report
With mortgage rates plunging downward in recent weeks in response to actions taken by the Federal Reserve, home buying activity remains strong.
For the week ending March 21, pending sales in the Twin Cities were 13.0 percent higher than the same week last year, while the number of new listings on the market was basically flat. Over the last three months, there have been approximately 1,200 more signed purchase agreements than there were a year ago and 3,000 fewer new listings. During this time, 58.1 percent of pending sales have been lender-mediated foreclosures and short sales, while 37.1 percent of new listings have been lender-mediated. The fact that the share of lender-mediated sales easily exceeds the share of new lender-mediated listings is a hopeful sign.
New buyers entering this market will be met with strong affordability but will have less to choose from compared to previous years. There are currently 26,064 homes for sale in the metro area, which is down 15.7 percent and 4,840 units from this time in 2008.
With mortgage rates plunging downward in recent weeks in response to actions taken by the Federal Reserve, home buying activity remains strong.
For the week ending March 21, pending sales in the Twin Cities were 13.0 percent higher than the same week last year, while the number of new listings on the market was basically flat. Over the last three months, there have been approximately 1,200 more signed purchase agreements than there were a year ago and 3,000 fewer new listings. During this time, 58.1 percent of pending sales have been lender-mediated foreclosures and short sales, while 37.1 percent of new listings have been lender-mediated. The fact that the share of lender-mediated sales easily exceeds the share of new lender-mediated listings is a hopeful sign.
New buyers entering this market will be met with strong affordability but will have less to choose from compared to previous years. There are currently 26,064 homes for sale in the metro area, which is down 15.7 percent and 4,840 units from this time in 2008.
Monday, March 23, 2009
Weekly Market Activity Report
Weekly Market Activity Report
Has everyone remembered to "spring" forward? It looks like the Twin Cities Housing Market certainly has, as the new season has brought in an uptick in sales along with the warm weather. The market can only hope that "spring" fever is more than just a figure of speech.
Speaking of pending sales, while they have tapered off during the week ending March 14, there is no denying that since the new year began pending sales have steadily outperformed last year’s numbers. In fact, even with almost no increase in pending sales activity the 870 pending sales for the week are still 14.9 percent higher than last March at this time.
Total active listings are another story. While new listings for this period are only 13.9 percent lower than last year, active listings are down nearly 14.7 percent. This can be looked at in a positive light, however if you consider that pending sales, decreasing inventory and higher HAI (Housing Affordability Index) are all helping to get more people into homes throughout the new spring season. This coupled with the federal government’s tax credit efforts could give the Twin Cities housing market the added boost it needs to awaken and to realize the potential that is out there.
There are many other events that coincide with spring: spring training, spring fever, spring boards… ok, that last one isn't technically associated with the season. But with the Month’s Supply of Inventory for March down 15.2 percent over last year, agents across the Twin Cities can assist buyers in diving right into the market now that conditions are beginning to warm.
Has everyone remembered to "spring" forward? It looks like the Twin Cities Housing Market certainly has, as the new season has brought in an uptick in sales along with the warm weather. The market can only hope that "spring" fever is more than just a figure of speech.
Speaking of pending sales, while they have tapered off during the week ending March 14, there is no denying that since the new year began pending sales have steadily outperformed last year’s numbers. In fact, even with almost no increase in pending sales activity the 870 pending sales for the week are still 14.9 percent higher than last March at this time.
Total active listings are another story. While new listings for this period are only 13.9 percent lower than last year, active listings are down nearly 14.7 percent. This can be looked at in a positive light, however if you consider that pending sales, decreasing inventory and higher HAI (Housing Affordability Index) are all helping to get more people into homes throughout the new spring season. This coupled with the federal government’s tax credit efforts could give the Twin Cities housing market the added boost it needs to awaken and to realize the potential that is out there.
There are many other events that coincide with spring: spring training, spring fever, spring boards… ok, that last one isn't technically associated with the season. But with the Month’s Supply of Inventory for March down 15.2 percent over last year, agents across the Twin Cities can assist buyers in diving right into the market now that conditions are beginning to warm.
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
60.3% of home sales were lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales. WOW!!
One. That's the number of times over the last 33 weeks that we've had fewer pending sales this year than we did a year ago. And the week in question was Thanksgiving—a week where making an offer on a home is typically ignored in favor of turkey and afternoon naps during another loss by the Detroit Lions.
The buying party continued for the week ending February 14, as there were 731 pending sales in the Twin Cities—up 17.1 percent. Over the last three months, there have been almost 1,200 more pending sales than there were last year. During this time period, 60.3 percent of sales were lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales.
Increased sales means increased absorption of inventory means less houses for sale. There are approximately 4,000 fewer houses for sale right now than there were at this time last year, a drop of nearly 14 percent. New listings remain sluggish as well. The most recent reporting week saw a 9.5 percent year-over-year drop.
The buying party continued for the week ending February 14, as there were 731 pending sales in the Twin Cities—up 17.1 percent. Over the last three months, there have been almost 1,200 more pending sales than there were last year. During this time period, 60.3 percent of sales were lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales.
Increased sales means increased absorption of inventory means less houses for sale. There are approximately 4,000 fewer houses for sale right now than there were at this time last year, a drop of nearly 14 percent. New listings remain sluggish as well. The most recent reporting week saw a 9.5 percent year-over-year drop.
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
Ground Hogs Day does not resemble the market.
Weekly Market Activity Report
As we celebrate Groundhog Day, new listing numbers continue consistently at a slower pace than 2008. New listings for the week ending January 24 were 10.3 percent less than this same week last year. Total active listings are significantly down, reflecting the steady decline of supply that occurred over the previous 12 months. There are currently 24,993 active listings on the market, down about 11 percent and 3,000 units since this time last year.
There is additional good news. Pending sales are showing an increase of 8.1 percent compared to one year ago. It should be noted, however, that much of this increase is foreclosures and short sales.
The Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) for February is projected to be 7.67, painting a picture of falling supply in further detail. The SDR reflects the number of homes for sale per buyer in the Twin Cities.
These positive signs are methodically leading us on a journey toward a healthier regional real estate market and not on an endless repeat of sameness like in the movie named for today's holiday.
As we celebrate Groundhog Day, new listing numbers continue consistently at a slower pace than 2008. New listings for the week ending January 24 were 10.3 percent less than this same week last year. Total active listings are significantly down, reflecting the steady decline of supply that occurred over the previous 12 months. There are currently 24,993 active listings on the market, down about 11 percent and 3,000 units since this time last year.
There is additional good news. Pending sales are showing an increase of 8.1 percent compared to one year ago. It should be noted, however, that much of this increase is foreclosures and short sales.
The Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) for February is projected to be 7.67, painting a picture of falling supply in further detail. The SDR reflects the number of homes for sale per buyer in the Twin Cities.
These positive signs are methodically leading us on a journey toward a healthier regional real estate market and not on an endless repeat of sameness like in the movie named for today's holiday.
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Housing market, Year-End, News Release for 2008
After two-plus years of a faltering market, a recent upswing in Twin Cities homes sales during the second half of 2008 is cause for some measured optimism heading into 2009. In the Twin Cities 13-county metro area, total pending sales for 2008 ended at 44,067, up 1.2 percent from 2007. This is the first year-over-year increase in pending sales since 2004. There were 38,746 closed home sales in 2008, down only 3.5 percent from 2007.
In the second half of the year, sales picked up momentum and haven't let up since due to tumbling mortgage rates and increased affordability. Since July, there have been 15.7 percent more pending sales than there were during the same time period last year, and the most recent month saw a year-over-year increase of almost 30 percent.
Home prices continued to decline, as expected. The overall 2008 median sales price was $195,000, down 13.3 percent from last year's mark of $225,000.
Reasons for this decline can be found by dissecting two unique segments in today's housing market: lender-mediated and traditional. In 2008, the median sales price of lender-mediated foreclosure and short sale properties was $145,000, a drop of 13.4 percent from 2007. The median sales price for traditional properties was $223,000, which was a much quieter decline of 4.1 percent from last year. In all of 2008, 31.7 percent of closed sales in the region were lender-mediated, up from 10.4 percent in 2007.
The number of new listings on the market during 2008 decreased by 10.9 percent compared to last year, a drop of over 10,000 listings from last year and the lowest showing since 2003. This has helped stem the tide of oversupply our market has been experiencing in recent years.
The number of new foreclosure and short sale listings in the fourth quarter of 2008 was actually 4.3 percent lower than the third quarter, which is the first downward quarterly movement in new lender-mediated listings since 2003.
In the second half of the year, sales picked up momentum and haven't let up since due to tumbling mortgage rates and increased affordability. Since July, there have been 15.7 percent more pending sales than there were during the same time period last year, and the most recent month saw a year-over-year increase of almost 30 percent.
Home prices continued to decline, as expected. The overall 2008 median sales price was $195,000, down 13.3 percent from last year's mark of $225,000.
Reasons for this decline can be found by dissecting two unique segments in today's housing market: lender-mediated and traditional. In 2008, the median sales price of lender-mediated foreclosure and short sale properties was $145,000, a drop of 13.4 percent from 2007. The median sales price for traditional properties was $223,000, which was a much quieter decline of 4.1 percent from last year. In all of 2008, 31.7 percent of closed sales in the region were lender-mediated, up from 10.4 percent in 2007.
The number of new listings on the market during 2008 decreased by 10.9 percent compared to last year, a drop of over 10,000 listings from last year and the lowest showing since 2003. This has helped stem the tide of oversupply our market has been experiencing in recent years.
The number of new foreclosure and short sale listings in the fourth quarter of 2008 was actually 4.3 percent lower than the third quarter, which is the first downward quarterly movement in new lender-mediated listings since 2003.
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Hello 2009
The New Year rang in with the normal post-holiday increase in new listings, but listings are still down from the same week last year. Pending sales for the week ending January 3 showed a strong increase during the year-end transition, rising nearly 40 percent compared to last year. Over the last three months of the year, pending sales were 18 percent higher than last year. Local housing inventory has reached its annual low point but looks to rebound in the opening months of 2009.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures from several important metrics:
• In December, Days on Market Until Sale dropped 6.3 percent compared to last year. The market appears to have reached a plateau in the amount of time needed to sell a house, and this welcome decline certainly could continue into the next year.
• Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale closed at 90.0 in December, 1.3 percent lower than last year.
• The new Housing Affordability Index (HAI) for January is extremely positive. Last month we stated that the HAI of 180 was the highest we had ever recorded. Now it's even higher, jumping an additional 12 points to 192. The rise reflects the help that interest rates and softer prices have given to the market. (Note: The decline in prices is driven by the significant amount of lender-mediated home sales and its benefit is not equal to all buyers.)
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures from several important metrics:
• In December, Days on Market Until Sale dropped 6.3 percent compared to last year. The market appears to have reached a plateau in the amount of time needed to sell a house, and this welcome decline certainly could continue into the next year.
• Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale closed at 90.0 in December, 1.3 percent lower than last year.
• The new Housing Affordability Index (HAI) for January is extremely positive. Last month we stated that the HAI of 180 was the highest we had ever recorded. Now it's even higher, jumping an additional 12 points to 192. The rise reflects the help that interest rates and softer prices have given to the market. (Note: The decline in prices is driven by the significant amount of lender-mediated home sales and its benefit is not equal to all buyers.)
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