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Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Market Report for the week of April 21st, 2008

Weekly Market Activity Report
The signs are early and nascent, but there are some promising early indicators that the Twin Cities housing market is beginning to correct and pull back from its two year-beeline in the buyer's favor. While affordability, interest rates and overall supply are still attractive, home sellers are cutting back on new listings substantially in 2008.

For the week ending April 12, there were 2,156 new listings, down a full 20.1 percent from the same week last year. That's the fifth week in the last six that we've seen double-digit percentage drops from 2007 activity. Newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) are still behind last year also, posting a 3.8 percent decline.

While our market still faces a long road ahead to full recovery, the recent reduction in new supply is a positive beacon on the horizon and undoubtedly welcome news for home sellers.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

MJarket Rerport for the week of April 14th, 2008

Spring inventory growth remains staid in the Twin Cities housing market as the annual influx of new properties for sale has not been as rambunctious as the levels seen over the last few springs. The total number of homes for sale in the metro area currently sits at 31,615 up only 3.0 percent from the same time last year—the lowest such year-over-year increase for some years. Home sales remain relatively slow as well, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) from the last three months trailing the same period last year by 16.6 percent.

This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Housing Affordability Index (HAI) for April. The HAI fell slightly to 155 due to a seasonal increase in home prices in March but remains a healthy 16.6 percent above where it was two years ago. Softening prices, motivated sellers and a continuation of historically low interest rates have dramatically improved the affordability picture in recent months.

Monday, April 7, 2008

Market report for the week of April 7th, 2008

Weekly Market Activity Report
The Twin Cities housing market is showing early signs of entering a positive phase of correction. The number of new listings entering the market for the week ending March 29 was 14.8 percent behind the same week last year, the fourth consecutive week of double-digit declines relative to last year. Unfortunately, pending sales remain lackadaisical (down 15.9 percent for the same time period comparison), so the total inventory of homes for sale continues to exhibit decelerating growth this spring season—an encouraging momentum change in our shifting supply-demand balance.

This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several key metrics. In March, the Days on Market Until Sale held steady at 165 and the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale dipped slightly to 91.0—both indicators of the continued advantage the buyer holds in this market. The April Months Supply of Inventory increased to 9.6 months, up 23.9 percent from this time last year. A market that's balanced between buyers and sellers would have roughly a 5- to 6-month supply of homes for sale. We haven't been there since 2005.

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Market report for the week of March 31st, 2008

Weekly Market Activity Report
Vamoosh! Home sellers in the Twin Cities are continuing their great disappearing act, with new listings on the market in 2008 sitting far below last year's rate. Over the last three months, there have been almost 2,500 fewer listings put on the market than there were a year ago—a drop of 9.5 percent.

Inventory is still more plentiful than ever. Despite the pullback, we still have a record high number of houses on the market for this time of year. So what's the takeaway here? Well, if we look closer, we can see that the inventory gap between now and one year ago is closing, and closing hard. We've gone from being up 12.6 percent from a year ago to only 5.5 percent up in the last 12 weeks.

Gut check: We must keep perspective on the challenging environment that sellers still face, despite the softening competition. The number of signed purchase agreements (pending sales) for the last three months is 17.7 percent behind the same period a year ago. There's fewer of everything.