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Monday, December 15, 2008

The housing market is going into hibernation mode.

As fall turns into winter—and winter turns dark and cold—activity in the Twin Cities housing market has entered its annual hibernation. On a weekly basis, new listings, total inventory and sales are all declining as consumers batten down the hatches and prepare for the holidays. Relative to this time last year, however, activity is stronger. For the week ending December 6, there were 597 signed purchase agreements (pending sales), which is up 27.6 percent over the same week last year. Roughly half of these sales—54.7 percent—were lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales.

On the supply side, new listings were relatively flat, up only 0.7 percent for the same time period comparison. The total supply of homes for sale currently sits at 27,035, down 8.2 percent compared to this time last year. Expect the decline in overall supply to continue into January. At the same time, expect the lender-mediated market share of that supply to increase.