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Monday, October 20, 2008

New MN Law for Carbon Monoxide Alarms

It is quite possible that MN Stat. 299.51 snuck up on you and your clients like carbon monoxide - silently. Although this new state mandate had received some attention during the legislative session, word of the new law (effective August 1, 2008 for existing single-family homes) and its application has not spread throughout the industry.

What is it? The new carbon monoxide (CO) alarm law requires that "every single-family dwelling and every dwelling unit in a multifamily dwelling" have "an approved and operational carbon monoxide alarm installed within ten feet of each room lawfully used for sleeping purposes." (See MN Stat. 299.51) This law was effective as of August 1, 2007 for newly constructed homes, and just became effective August 1, 2008 for all existing single-family dwelling units. It becomes effective in August 1, 2009 for existing multifamily dwelling units. The alarms must be an approved device (conforming to UL2034 standards), and may be hardwired, plugged in, or battery-powered (if attached to the wall).

Time to go shopping at your local Home Depot, Ace Hardware, Menards or any other store that carries house hold items.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

The market has slowed down again after a 4 week run.

After spending weeks hypothesizing what role the sunsetting FHA seller-funded downpayment assistance was having in stimulating the recent jump in home sales, we may have our first indication this week. For the week ending October 4—the first week we've measured in which the program was unavailable to prospective Twin Cities home buyers—pending sales were ahead of the same week last year by only 3.5 percent. While this is still an upward annual trend, it is about a 15 percent decline in buyer activity as compared to the activity of each of the previous four weeks.

Now that the FHA program is gone, time will tell if home sales will continue to surpass 2006 levels, as seen over the past several weeks. While one week of a relative downturn is too small a sample size to be predictive of the future, our changing financial climate bears close scrutiny in the weeks ahead.

Listing supply continues to draw down, as new listings declined by 12.0 percent for the same time period comparison and the total number of homes for sale is 9.1 percent lower than it was one year ago.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Monday, September 15, 2008

Don't forget about the $7,500 federal tax credit for first-time homebuyers

Weekly Market Activity Report

Like The Godfather: Part II, the Twin Cities housing market showed a surprisingly strong sequel to last week's huge upswing in pending sales. For the week ending September 6, there were 749 purchase agreements written—a rise of 49.8 percent from the same week in 2007. This comes on the heels of last week's then-unthinkably large increase of 51.3 percent.

There are factors at work that are exacerbating the appearance of this rebound and slightly tempering this good news. First, the sales slowdown in August and September of last year was historically extreme; current activity seems extraterrestially high, compared to 2007, but is actually only slightly above the pace of 2006. In addition, there is likely a short-term increase in sales activity as home buyers act now to take advantage of sunsetting seller-funded downpayment assistance on FHA mortgages. This program is currently the only zero-down loan option still available and is disappearing as of October 1, subject to a congressional rescue.

Other factors working to boost buyer activity include the newly authorized $7,500 federal tax credit for first-time homebuyers, home prices too good to pass on and downward pressure on interest rates.

Elsewhere in the market, the supply of homes for sale continues to shrink. There are currently 9.0 percent fewer homes on the market than there were a year ago. And we are almost dead even with the number of homes on the market at this time in 2006.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Housing market is looking good.

Weekly Market Activity Report

Like Adam West as Batman, the market for home sales in the Twin Cities went POW! during the week ending August 30. For the week, there were 965 purchase agreements signed—a whopping increase of 51.3 percent from the same week last year. That's the highest year-over-year increase in pending sales since we began tracking that figure on a weekly basis in 2004. Home-buying activity is particularly heavy relative to last year due in all likelihood to a) the historically sluggish showing in August of last year as the credit crunch took hold, b) a bevy of buyers taking advantage of the final days of FHA's seller-funded downpayment assistance program, which sunsets on October 1 of this year and (c) new home buyers getting off the fence and taking advantage of the new home buyer tax credit of up to $7,500.

This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several key metrics. Days on Market Until Sale dipped slightly to 143 but remains up from last year by 5.8 percent. The Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 92.7 but remains down from the healthier levels of the past several years. The Housing Affordability Index increased to 151, thanks to falling prices and interest rates.

The Months Supply of Inventory fell to 9.9 months. This means it will take the current crop of properties for sale approximately 9.9 months to completely sell through, given current sales rates. This is dead-even with this time last year, another indication that the market isn't continuing to shift in the buyer's favor anymore for the time being. A balanced market is thought to have a 5- to 6-month supply rate.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Market is looking good.

Weekly Market Activity Report

If you're looking for some insight into just how sluggish the second half of 2007's home sales were, look no further then the year-over-year comparisons with the sales from this year. For the week ending August 16, 2008, there were a whopping 33.0 percent more pending sales than the same week last year—an increase of more than 200 units. This extremely strong showing is due to a combination of legitimately robust current demand and the uncharacteristically steep downward dive sales took last year after the credit markets began to constrict in August 2007. This week's figures are more in line with the equivalent (pre-credit crunch) time period in 2006—just 2.5 percent off that pace.

As for housing supply, the number of new listings on the market receded by 18.4 percent for the same time period comparison, and the total number of active properties for sale is currently 7.1 percent lower than at the same point last year.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Real Estate Market report.

Weekly Market Activity Report

Zoinks! Pending sales for the week ending August 9 were a startling 21.0 percent higher than one year ago, posting 900 sales as compared to 744 a year ago. While one week of such robust increase doesn't justify the opening of stored champagne bottles, it is another welcome sign of reviving buyer demand. While a highly productive number in its own right, the year-over-year increase is somewhat amplified by just how slow August of last year was, as that is the specific month in which tightening lending standards began to take root.

New listings declined by 11.3 percent for the same time period comparison, and the total number of active properties for sale is currently 6.4 percent lower than it was one year ago. With foreclosure and short sale activity increasing, the declining supply underscores just how many traditional sellers are waiting this market out by not placing their homes up for sale.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

The housing market is slowly getting better.

Weekly Market Activity Report

For the fifth consecutive week and ninth of the last twelve, there were more purchase agreements written on homes than one year previous.

For the week ending August 2, there were 820 pending sales—an increase of 2.2 percent from the same week in 2007. Over the last three months, pending sales have held relatively steady, posting an increase of 0.6 percent from the same period last year. With sales tantalizing the marketplace with slight upward jiggering over the past several weeks, some might want to predict that we've reached bottom. While the news is encouraging, it's a bit premature to stake that claim. Meanwhile, housing supply is clearly in decline. New listings from the most recently reported week were a stirring 19.8 percent lower than last year and were down 12.8 percent over the last three months.

This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several key metrics. Days on Market Until Sale in July fell slightly to 146 but remains up 13.3 percent from July 2007. Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale decreased to 92.6 percent, also down from last year. Months Supply of Inventory is up 8.6 percent from last year at 10.5. And our Housing Affordability Index (HAI) fell 4 points from last month to 144 due to another increase in interest rates and seasonal increases in home prices. Despite the drop, the HAI remains much improved from 2006 and 2007.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Wqeekly Market Rerport for the week of July 28th, 2008

Weekly Market Activity Report

In the Twin Cities housing market, sales are flat like a New York pizza and supply is down like grandma's comforter. Fortunately for us, the data confirms our kitschy similes. Pending sales for the week ending July 19 are ahead of the same week last year by 3.8 percent, while new listings fell by 13.0 percent for the same time period—positive signs of a market in transition.

The total number of active listings for sale currently sits at 33,410, (comfortably) down 1,722 units—or 4.9 percent—from this time last year. Since the number of new homes coming on the market remains in decline and sales appear to have hit bottom, we can expect total inventory to remain lower than last year for some time to come.

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Weekly market Report for the week of July 21st, 2008

Weekly Market Activity Report

Housing supply in the Twin Cities continues its descent. For the week ending July 12, there were 11.5 percent fewer new listings on the market than there were one year ago. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 4,000 fewer homes on the market than there were during the same period in 2007. The total number of properties for sale currently sits at 33,390—down 4.7 percent from this time last year.

The sales picture is slightly different, as activity has flattened after two years of downward movement. We are showing a slight 1.8 percent increase in pending sales from the same week last year. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 300fewer pending sales—a decline of 2.7 percent.

The new construction market has achieved an important step towards its eventual recovery. The Months Supply of Inventory for new construction properties is now less than at this time one year ago—dropping slightly from 11.0 months in July 2007 to 10.8 today. This figure has been increasing steadily for several straight years. A drastic decrease in new construction inventory is the reason for the decline.

Condominium prices continue to indicate healthier dynamics than the other property types, with both average sales price and price per square foot up slightly. This submarket seems to have peaked and flattened earlier than others, and also has far fewer foreclosures and short sales affecting overall price data.

The entire market continues to shift downward to the lower price ranges, in both supply and demand—an indication of the growing prevalence of lender-mediated foreclosures and short sales in the Twin Cities.